Monday, October 20, 2008

Can the Washington Redskins predict the presidential election?

The Redskins are 16-1 in predicting the presidential election result by winning (incumbent party retains White House) or losing (incumbent party replaced) their last home game before the election. They were only wrong in 2004, going back 17 elections. In those games, their won-loss record is 8-9, and the incumbent party's retention record is 9-8. Given those statistics, can you predict what would be the likely correlation of two seemingly independent events? And what is the likelihood of the Redskins' 94% accuracy rate? Pretty slim, I bet.
You can check this on snopes.com. The Redskins host Pittsburgh Nov. 3.

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